Note: When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher.
Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).
What is a DOI Number?
Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.
-
Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2026
-
Abstract The Miocene (∼23–5 Ma) is a past warm epoch when global surface temperatures varied between ∼5 and 8°C warmer than today, and CO2concentration was ∼400–800 ppm. The narrowing/closing of the tropical ocean gateways and widening of high‐latitude gateways throughout the Miocene is likely responsible for the evolution of the ocean's overturning circulation to its modern structure, though the mechanisms remain unclear. Here, we investigate early and middle Miocene ocean circulation in an opportunistic climate model intercomparison (MioMIP1), using 14 simulations with different paleogeography, CO2, and vegetation. The strength of the Southern Ocean‐driven Meridional Overturning Circulation (SOMOC) bottom cell is similar in the Miocene and Pre‐Industrial (PI) but dominates the Miocene global MOC due to weaker Northern Hemisphere overturning. The Miocene Atlantic MOC (AMOC) is weaker than PI in all the simulations (by 2–21 Sv), possibly due to its connection with an Arctic that is considerably fresher than today. Deep overturning in the North Pacific (PMOC) is present in three simulations (∼5–10 Sv), of which two have a weaker AMOC, and one has a stronger AMOC (compared to its PMOC). Surface freshwater fluxes control northern overturning such that the basin with the least freshwater gain has stronger overturning. While the orography, which impacts runoff direction (Pacific vs. Atlantic), has an inconsistent impact on northern overturning across simulations, overall, features associated with the early Miocene—such as a lower Tibetan Plateau, the Rocky Mountains, and a deeper Panama Seaway—seem to favor PMOC over AMOC.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2026
-
Abstract. The Ptolemaic era (305–30 BCE) is an important period of Ancient Egyptianhistory known for its material and scientific advances, but also intermittent political and social unrest in the form of (sometimes widespread) revolts against the Ptolemaic elites. While the role ofenvironmental pressures has long been overlooked in this period of Egyptianhistory, ice-core-based volcanic histories have identified the period asexperiencing multiple notable eruptions, and a repeated temporal association between explosive volcanism and revolt has recently been noted. Here we analyze the global and regional (Nile River basin) hydroclimatic response to a unique historical sequence of four large and closely timed volcanic eruptions (first a tropical one, followed by three extratropical northern hemispheric events) between 168 and 158 BCE, a particularly troubled period in Ptolemaic history for which we now provide a more detailed hydroclimatic context. The NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) GISS (Goddard Institute for Space Studies) ModelE2.1 Earth system model simulates a strong radiative response with a radiative forcing (top of atmosphere) of −7.5 W m−2 (following the first eruption) and −2.5 W m−2 (after each of the three remaining eruptions) at a global scale. Associated with this, we observe a global surface cooling of the order of 1.5 ∘C following the first (tropical) eruption, with the following three extratropical eruptions extending the cooling period for more than 15 years. Consequently, this series of eruptions is observed to constrain the northward migration of the inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) during the Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon season, and major monsoon zones (African, South Asian, and East Asian) were seen to experience a suppression of rainfall of >1 mm d−1 during the monsoon (JJAS) season averaged for 2 years after each eruption. A substantial suppression of the Indian and North African summer monsoon (over the Nile River headwater region) was seen to strongly affect the modeled river flow in the catchment and discharge at river mouth. River mass flow over the basin was observed to decrease by 29 % and 38 % relative to an unperturbed (non-volcanic) annual mean flow in the first and second year, respectively, after the first (i.e., tropical) eruption. A moderate decrease ranging between 5 % and 18 % was observed after the third and fourth (extratropical) eruptions. These results indicate, in sum, that the first eruption likely produced a strong hydroclimate response, with the following extratropical eruptions prolonging this. These results also support the recently hypothesized association between ice-core-based signals of explosive volcanism and hydroclimatic variability during the Ptolemaic era, including the suppression of the agriculturally critical Nile summer flooding.more » « less
-
Abstract Ice cores and other paleotemperature proxies, together with general circulation models, have provided information on past surface temperatures and the atmosphere's composition in different climates. Little is known, however, about past temperatures at high altitudes, which play a crucial role in Earth's radiative energy budget. Paleoclimate records at high‐altitude sites are sparse, and the few that are available show poor agreement with climate model predictions. These disagreements could be due to insufficient spatial coverage, spatiotemporal biases, or model physics; new records that can mitigate or avoid these uncertainties are needed. Here, we constrain the change in upper‐tropospheric temperature at the global scale during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) using the clumped‐isotope composition of molecular oxygen trapped in polar ice cores. Aided by global three‐dimensional chemical transport modeling, we exploit the intrinsic temperature sensitivity of the clumped‐isotope composition of atmospheric oxygen to infer that the upper troposphere (effective mean altitude 10–11 km) was 6–9°C cooler during the LGM than during the late preindustrial Holocene. A complementary energy balance approach supports a minor or negligible steepening of atmospheric lapse rates during the LGM, which is consistent with a range of climate model simulations. Proxy‐model disagreements with other high‐altitude records may stem from inaccuracies in regional hydroclimate simulation, possibly related to land‐atmosphere feedbacks.more » « less
An official website of the United States government
